题目：农产品贸易非关税措施的政治经济学

时间：2022.10.24（周一） 19:00

地点：腾讯会议：899-902-395

报告人：茅 锐 教授（浙江大学）

主持人：张 浩 教授

报告摘要

Purpose – We attempt to examine the existence and pattern of coalitions in international relations across countries, and investigate whether international relations of coalition partners influence a country’s enaction of agricultural non-tariff measures (NTMs).

Design/methodology/approach – We adopt a machine learning technique to identify international relation coalition partnerships and use network analysis to characterize the clustering pattern of coalitions with high-frequent records of global event data. We then construct a monthly dataset of agricultural NTMs against China and international relations with China of each importer and its coalition partners, and design a panel structural vector autoregressive (PSVAR) model to estimate impulse response functions of agricultural NTMs with regard to international relation shocks.

Findings – We find countries to establish coalition partnerships. Two major clusters of coalitions are noted, with one composed of coalitions primarily among “North” countries and the other of coalitions among “South” countries. The US is found to play a pivotal role by connecting the two clusters. The PSVAR estimation reveals reductions of NTMs against China following improved international relations with China of both the importer and its coalition partners. NTM responses are more substantial for measures that are trade restrictive. These results confirm that coalitions in international relations lead to coordination of agricultural NTMs.

Originality/value – We provide international political insights to agricultural trade policymaking by showing interactions of NTM enaction across countries in the same coalition of international relations. These insights offer useful policy implications to predict and cope with hidden barriers to agricultural trade.

报告人简介

茅锐 教授

茅锐，博士，浙江大学中国农村发展研究院教授，公共管理公司党委委员、农业经济与管理系主任，入选教育部“长江学者奖励计划”青年学者和浙江省“万人计划”青年拔尖人才，担任《国际食物与农商管理评论》（IFAMR）执行编辑。他的主要研究领域为农业农村发展、产业结构转型和农产品国际贸易。研究成果曾获“黄达-蒙代尔经济学奖”、浙江省哲学社会科学优秀成果奖等，多次被《新华文摘》和人大复印报刊资料等转载，并得到国家与省部级领导人批示或采纳。

图文 | 湛彩华

编辑 | 顾哲喻 湛彩华

初审 | 顾哲瑜

复审 | 张 浩

终审 | 徐昶斌